Lubbock, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

875
FXUS64 KLUB 071755
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1255 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

 - Warm and quiet tonight with low-end breezy winds.

 - Generally hot and dry through the end of the week with low
   thunderstorm chances.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

After many days of needed convection, quiet mosquito growing weather
will take hold of the region. Upper ridging is filling in behind the
exiting upper shortwave and will leave behind mostly clear skies.
Surface lee troughing is helping to keep winds out of the south,
though winds are averaging around 10 mph or less thanks to a
relatively relaxed gradient. The surface gradient will begin to
tighten slightly overnight as the lee trough transitions to a
surface low just to our north and, with the LLJ, will help increase
winds to the southwest around 15-20 mph. The increase in wind (and
higher surface moisture) will keep overnight lows mild, mid to upper
60s on the Caprock and low to mid 70s off the Caprock. The surface
low will mostly remain in place through Monday as the upper ridge
axis moves east of the region, leaving southwesterly upper flow
overhead. Afternoon mixing will allow for slightly breezier
southwest winds. Monday afternoon highs will be a degree or two
warmer than today. CAMs have begun to show convection along the
dryline Monday afternoon as it sets up just to our west, with come
convection moving across our western zones. Models are mixed with
convective development, and most keep convection weak at best as
better lift and surface convergence will be to our north across the
central and northern Texas Panhandle. We will keep any mention out
of the forecast at this time as confidence is low.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Weak southwest upper flow will dominate Tuesday as we remain between
the base of an upper trough to the west and broad upper ridge to our
east. The upper ridge will begin to be overtaken by the upper trough
by late Tuesday and will flatten by mid week. While upper flow will
still be mostly unfavorable for mountain convection to push into the
FA late Tuesday, it will be improved over southwesterly upper flow
and a few storms could briefly make it into our northwestern zones
before dissipating. Weak zonal flow will remain in place late week
into the weekend. While overall storm chances or low, there will be
the potential for at least isolated diurnal storms each afternoon
and evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

VFR. LLWS is expected at all sites toward midnight and continuing
through the pre-dawn hours.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...93