Lubbock, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

697
FXUS64 KLUB 192328
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
528 PM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 527 PM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

 - Outside of a brief cooldown Sunday, warm and dry conditions
   continue through next week, with possible record highs Saturday.

 - Elevated to critical fire weather conditions remain expected
   today and Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 1130 AM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

Zonal flow aloft will develop through today in the wake of a trough.
Southwesterly surface winds will increase by the afternoon hours as
relatively low pressure deepens in the Rockies. Although the current
cirrus may somewhat inhibit these winds, overall conditions remain
favorable for fire weather conditions and a Red Flag Warning is in
effect through early evening for portions of the far SE Panhandle
and northern South Plains where winds will be highest (sustained
around 20-25 mph with higher gusts). A Rangeland Fire Danger
Statement is in effect elsewhere. Significantly above average high
temperatures will return into the low-to-mid 70s. Winds will
slightly diminish this evening, however remain elevated around 10-15
mph into the overnight hours. This will help keep lows on the mild
side, generally ranging in the mid 40s to near 50. Surface winds
will shift due westerly Saturday, with the downsloping component
bringing even slightly warmer temperatures. Although models have
dropped a bit from earlier runs, record highs remain possible and
should still climb into the 80s for the southern South Plains and
off the Caprock. This will likewise bring more widespread fire
weather concerns across the area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1130 AM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

A brief reprieve from the December heat will occur late Saturday
into Sunday as high pressure develops over the central Great Plains
with relatively low pressure to the south. Winds will switch to NE
overnight, however veer more towards the south during the day as the
high pressure departs eastward. Cooler highs in the mid 50s are
expected over the far SW Panhandle where light easterly winds will
hold on a bit longer, with low-to-mid 60s to the south and west
where southerly winds will arrive a bit sooner. Winds will switch
back to SW for the remainder of next week. Zonal flow aloft will
persist through Monday with heights around 580 Dm. A ridge builds in
by Christmas and will continue to have an influence over our area
through the end of the week. Significantly above average highs will
persist in the 70s and 80s. Long-range models indicate the potential
for an upper trough closer to the New Year, however winter does not
appear to be arriving anytime soon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 527 PM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

Breezy winds out of the southwest will remain in place during the
overnight hours at KLBB and KPVW with a slight turning of the
winds more to the west. After sunrise on Saturday, winds will
increase again out of the west. A cold front will move through the
area, first at KCDS during the afternoon, then at KLBB and KPVW
after 00Z. Winds will shift to the northeast behind this front.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1155 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

Sustained southwest surface winds near 20 mph along with humidities
in the teens and a return of highs in the 70s will bring elevated to
critical fire weather conditions today. A Red Flag Warning remains
in effect through 6 PM for the far SE Texas Panhandle and northern
South Plains. A Rangeland Fire Danger Statement is in effect
elsewhere. More widespread critical fire weather concerns are
expected Saturday in a due westerly downsloping flow pattern. RFTIs
will increase to 2-3, particularly across the South Plains.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ021>023-
027>029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...01